Share:


Innovation dynamics and financial stability: a European Union perspective

    Francisco Javier Santos-Arteaga Affiliation
    ; Madjid Tavana Affiliation
    ; Celia Torrecillas Affiliation
    ; Debora Di Caprio Affiliation

Abstract

We present a formal and empirical framework that links the technological capacity of a country, reflected in its National System of Innovation, with the financial constraints it faces. The paper is divided into two sections. The first one introduces a stochastic growth model based on the relative level of technological development of countries, which determines their productivity and capacity to finance innovation activities. The second section describes the empirical conditioning observed in the innovation outputs of countries determined by their financial constraints and time period relative to the economic crisis of 2008. We classify a panel sample of European Union countries according to their technological development level and find that financial stability constraints negatively affect the less developed ones, a relationship that weakens as their innovation capacity increases. We also observe that financial stability becomes significant among technologically developed countries when reacting to the exogenous shock triggered by the crisis, while laggards remain constrained through the entire 2000–2018 sample period.

Keyword : national system of innovation, technological development, innovation dynamics, financial constraints, European stability

How to Cite
Santos-Arteaga, F. J., Tavana, M., Torrecillas, C., & Di Caprio, D. (2020). Innovation dynamics and financial stability: a European Union perspective. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 26(6), 1366-1398. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2020.13521
Published in Issue
Nov 17, 2020
Abstract Views
929
PDF Downloads
686
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Abramovitz, M. (1986). Catching up, forging ahead, and falling behind. The Journal of Economic History, 46(02), 385–406. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050700046209

Acemoglu, D. (2008). Introduction to modern economic growth. Princeton University Press.

Aghion, P., Askenazy, P., Berman, N., Cette, G., & Eymard, L. (2012). Credit constraints and the cyclicality of R&D investment: Evidence from France. Journal of the European Economic Association, 10(5), 1001–1024. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1542-4774.2012.01093.x

Aghion, P., Bergeaud, A., Cette, G., Lecat, R., & Maghin, H. (2019). The inverted‐u relationship between credit access and productivity growth. Economica, 86, 1–31. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12297

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction, Econometrica, 60, 323–351. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1999). Endogenous growth theory. MIT Press.

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (2005). Growth with quality-improving innovations: an integrated framework. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth, (pp. 67–110). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01002-6

Aghion, P., Howitt, P., & Mayer-Foulkes, D. (2005). The effect of financial development on convergence: theory and evidence, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, 173–222. https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.2005.120.1.173

Álvarez, I., Di Caprio, D., & Santos-Arteaga, F. J. (2016). Technological assimilation and economic growth in times of crisis: on the evolution of the Baltic states. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 22(2), 254–273. https://doi.org/10.3846/20294913.2015.1033663

Álvarez, I., & Torrecillas, C. (2020). Interactive learning processes and mergers and acquisitions in national systems of innovation. Transnational Corporations Review, 12, 63–81. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2020.1735782

Ang, J. (2011). Financial development, liberalization and technological deepening. European Economic Review, 55(5), 688–701. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2010.09.004

Ang, J., & Madsen, J. B. (2012). Risk capital, private credit, and innovative production. Canadian Journal of Economics, 45(4), 1608–1639. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5982.2012.01740.x

Archibugi, D., & Filippetti, A. (2011) Is the economic crisis impairing convergence in innovation performance across Europe? Journal Common Market Studies, 49(6), 1153–1182. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2011.02191.x

Archibugi, D., & Filippetti, A. (2012). Innovation and economic crisis. Lessons and prospects from the economic crisis. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203804513

Archibugi, D., Filippetti, A., & Frenz., M. (2013). The impact of the economic crisis on innovation: Evidence from Europe. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 80, 1247–1260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.05.005

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968

Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D

Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2003). Economic growth (2nd ed.). MIT Press.

Besley, T., Roland, I., & Van Reenen, J. (2018). The aggregate effects of credit market frictions: evidence from firm-level default assessments (Technical Report, mimeo).

Bond, S., Harhoff, D., & Van Reenen, J. (1999). Investment, R&D and financial constraints in Britain and Germany (Working Paper #W99/05, 45). Institute for Fiscal Studies. https://doi.org/10.1920/wp.ifs.1999.9905

Bond, S., Elston, J., Mairesse, J., & Mulkay, B. (2003). Financial factors and investment in Belgium, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom: A comparison using company panel data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, 153–165. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465303762687776

Castellacci, F. (2008). Technology clubs, technology gaps and growth trajectories. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 19(4), 301–314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2008.07.002

Cozzens, S., & Kaplinsky, R. (2009). Innovation, poverty and inequality: cause, coincidence, or coevolution? In Lundvall et al. (Eds.), Handbook of innovation systems and developing countries. Edward Elgar, UK. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781849803427.00009

Dedrick, J., Gurbaxani, V., & Kraemer, K. L. (2003). Information technology and economic performance: a critical review of the empirical evidence. ACM Computing Surveys, 35, 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1145/641865.641866

Demirhan, D., & Babacan, Ö. (2016). The role of financing in innovation ecosystems: a panel data analysis. Ege Stratejik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 7(Özel), 93–104. https://doi.org/10.18354/esam.71906

Dewan, S., & Kraemer, K. L. (2000). Information technology and productivity: preliminary evidence from country-level data. Management Science, 46, 548–562. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.4.548.12057

Dosi, G. (1988). Sources, procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation. Journal of Economic Literature, 26(3), 120–171.

Dosi, G. (1990). Finance, innovation and industrial change, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 13, 299–319. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2681(90)90003-V

Dunning, J. H., & Lundan, S. M. (2008). Institutions and the OLI paradigm of the multinational enterprise. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 25(4), 573–593. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10490-007-9074-z

European Commission. (2010). Divergences within the euro area: Threat and opportunity. European Economy News: Magazine of the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, 17, 8–9.

European Commission. (2017). 10 years since the start of the crisis: Back to recovery thanks to decisive EU action. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_17_2401

European Commission. (2019). Innovation Union Scoreboard. https://ec.europa.eu/growth/content/2019-innovation-scoreboards-innovation-performance-eu-and-its-regions-increasing_en

Fagerberg, J., Srholec, M., & Knell, M. (2007). The competitiveness of nations: Why some countries prosper while others fall behind. World Development, 35(10), 1595–1620. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2007.01.004

Filippetti, A., & Archibugi, D. (2011). Innovation in times of crisis: national systems of innovation, structure, and demand, Research Policy, 40, 179–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2010.09.001

Fores, B., & Camison, C. (2011). The complementary effect of internal learning capacity and absorptive capacity on performance: the mediating role of innovation capacity. International Journal of Technology Management, 55, 56–81. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTM.2011.041680

Freeman, C. (1995). The ‘National System of Innovation’ in historical perspective. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 19(1), 5–24.

Freeman, C. (1987). Technology policy and economic performance: Lessons from Japan. Frances Pinter.

Furman, J., Porter, M., & Stern, S. (2002). The determinants of national innovative capacity. Research Policy, 31, 899–933. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(01)00152-4

Godin, B. (2009). National innovation system the system approach in historical perspective. Science, Technology and Human Values, 34(4), 476–501. https://doi.org/10.1177/0162243908329187

Gorodnichenko, Y., & Schnitzer, M. (2013). Financial constraints and innovation: Why poor countries don’t catch up. Journal of the European Economic Association, 11, 1115–1152. https://doi.org/10.1111/jeea.12033

Gorzelany-Dziadkowiec, M., Gorzelany, J., Stauskis, G., Hernik, J., Van Assche, K., & Noszczyk, T. (2019). The innovation process in local development – the material, institutional, and intellectual infrastructure shaping and shaped by innovation. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 25(6), 1232–1258. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2019.11094

Greenwood, J., Hercowitz, Z., & Krusell, P. (1997). Long-run implications of investment specific-technological change. American Economic Review, 87, 342–362.

Günther, J., Kristalova, M., & Ludwig, U. (2019). Structural stability of the research and development sector in European economies crisis despite the economic crisis. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, (29), 1415–1432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-019-00640-z

Hall, B. H., Mairesse, J., Branstetter, L., & Crepon, B. (1999). Does cash flow cause investment and R&D: An exploration using panel data for French, Japanese and United States Scientific Firms. In D. Audretsch & A. R. Thurik (Eds.), Innovation, industry evolution and employment. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.105089

Hall, B. H. (2002). The financing of research and development. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 18(1), 35–51. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/18.1.35

Hall, B. H. (2008). The financing of innovation. In S. Shane (Ed.), Handbook of technology and innovation management (pp. 409–430). Blackwell Publishers.

Iammarino, S., Sanna-Randaccio, F., & Savona, M. (2009). The perception of obstacles to innovation. Foreign multinationals and domestic firms in Italy. Revue d’économie industrielle, 125(1), 75–104. https://doi.org/10.4000/rei.3953

Jovanovic, B. (1997). Learning and growth. In D. Kreps & K. Wallis (Eds.), Advances in economics and econometrics: Theory and applications (Vol. 2, pp. 318–339). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CCOL0521580129.009

Kamien, M., & Schwartz, N. L. (1981). Dynamic optimization: The calculus of variations and optimal control in economics and management. Elsevier.

Kerr, W. R., & Nanda, R. (2009). Democratizing entry: Banking deregulations, financing constraints, and entrepreneurship. Journal of Financial Economics, 94, 124–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.12.003

King, R., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108, 717–737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118406

Labra, R., & Torrecillas, C. (2018). Estimating dynamic Panel data. A practical approach to perform long panels. Revista Colombiana de Estadística, 41(1), 31–52. https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v41n1.61885

Labra, R., & Torrecillas, C. (2014). Guía CERO para datos de panel. Un enfoque práctico. (UAM-Accenture Working Paper No. 2014/16, pp. 1–57). Univesidad Autonoma de Madrid.

Laeven, L., & Valencia, F. (2013). The real effects of financial sector interventions during crises. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 45(1), 147–177. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00565.x

Lall, S. (1992). Technological capabilities and industrialization. World Development, 20(2), 165–186. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(92)90097-F

Lee, K., & Kim, B. (2009). Both institutions and policies matter but differently for different income groups of countries: Determinants of long-run economic growth revisited. World Development, 37(3), 533–549. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.07.004

Lee, S. T., Gholami, R., & Tong, T. Y. (2005). Time series analysis in the assessment of ICT impact at the aggregate level – Lessons and implications for the new economy. Information & Management, 42, 1009–1022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2004.11.005

López, S. M., Molero, J., & Santos-Arteaga, F. J. (2011). Poverty traps in a frictionless world: The effects of learning and technology assimilation. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 22, 106–115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2010.12.001

Lorenz, E., & Pommet, S. (2017). Innovation, credit constraints and national banking systems: A Comparison of developing nations (GREDEG Working Papers 2017-16). Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), University of Nice Sophia Antipolis.

Lundvall, B. A. (1992). National systems of innovation: toward a theory of innovation and interactive learning, Pinter Publishers.

Lundvall, B. Å. (2007). National innovation systems analytical concept and development tool. Industry and Innovation, 14(1), 95–119. https://doi.org/10.1080/13662710601130863

Lundvall, B. Å. (2016). The learning economy and the economics of hope. Anthem Press. https://doi.org/10.26530/OAPEN_626406

Manaresi, F., & Pierri, N. (2017). Credit constraints and firm productivity: Evidence from Italy (Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 137). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2906809

Mancusi, M. L., & Vezzulli, A. (2014). R&D and credit rationing in SMEs. Economic Inquiry, 52(3), 1153–1172. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12080

Mazzucato, M. (2013). Financing innovation: Creative destruction vs. destructive creation. Industrial and Corporate Change, 22(4), 851–867. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtt025

Mukoyama, T. (2003). Innovation, imitation and growth with cumulative technology, Journal of Monetary Economics, 50, 361–380. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(03)00005-9

Mulkay, B., Hall, B. H., & Mairesse, J. (2001). Investment and R&D in France and in the United States. In Deutsche Bundesbank (Ed.), Investing today for the world of tomorrow. Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-56601-1_19

O’Sullivan, M. (2005). Finance and innovation, in J. Fagerberg, D. C. Mowery, & R. Nelson (Eds.), The Oxford handbook of innovation (pp. 240–265). Oxford University Press.

OECD. (2012, September 13). Innovation: Economic crisis and weak outlook hit R&D, says OECD http://www.oecd.org/newsroom/innovationeconomiccrisisandweakoutlookhitrdsaysoecd.htm

Oliner, S. D., & Sichel, D. E. (1994). Computers and output growth revisited: How big is the puzzle? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 273–317. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534658

Osei-Bryson, K. M., & Ko, M. (2004). Exploring the relationship between information technology investments and firm performance using regression splines analysis. Information & Management, 42, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2003.09.002

Pellegrino, G., & Savona, M. (2017). No money, no honey? Financial versus knowledge and demand constraints to innovation. Research Policy, 46, 510–521. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2017.01.001

Perez, C. (2002). Technological revolutions and financial capital: The dynamics of bubbles and golden ages. Cheltenham, Elgar. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781781005323

Perez, C. (2004). Finance and technical change: a long-term view. In H. Hanusch, & A. Pyka (Eds.), The elgar companion to neo-schumpeterian economics (pp. 775–799). Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.

Popov, A. (2017). Evidence on finance and economic growth (ECB Working Paper, 2115).

Roodman, D. (2012). XTABOND2: Stata module to extend xtabond dynamic panel data estimator. Statistical Software Components. Centre for Global Development, Washington, DC

Santos-Arteaga, F. J., Di Caprio, D., Tavana, M., & O’Connor, A. (2017). Innovation dynamics and labor force restructuring with asymmetrically developed national innovation systems. International Business Review, 26, 36–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2016.05.005

Savignac, F. (2008). Impact of financial constraints on innovation: What can be learned from a direct measure? Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 17(6), 553–569. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438590701538432

Tylecote, A. (1994). Financial systems and innovation. In M. Dodgson & R. Rothwell (Eds.), The handbook of industrial innovation (pp. 259–267). Edward Elgar.

Van Tilburg, R. (2009). Finance for Innovation: Policy options for improving the financial component of the Dutch innovation system. Retrieved November 4, 2012, from http://www.awt.nl/upload/documents/publicaties/tekst/as36.pdf

Wälde, K. (1999). Optimal saving under Poisson uncertainty. Journal of Economic Theory, 87, 194–217. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.1999.2529

Witt, M. A., & Lewin, A. Y. (2007). Outward foreign direct investment as escape response to home country institutional constraints. Journal of International Business Studies, 38(4), 579–594. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400285