Share:


Research on performance measurement and simulation of civil air defense PPP projects using system dynamics

    Lingyi Tang Affiliation
    ; Yibo Yue Affiliation
    ; Xiaer Xiahou Affiliation
    ; Shi Tang Affiliation
    ; Qiming Li Affiliation

Abstract

Public Private Partnership (PPP) mode is increasingly applied in civil air defense (CAD) projects to improve project quality and reduce the government’s financial pressure. Because CAD project has different attributes during wartime and peacetime states, it’s necessary to comprehensively consider the project performance under different states to conduct scientific performance measurement. This paper focuses on the process of construction, operation, and handover of CAD PPP project to construct a unified project performance measurement indicator system, then a system dynamics (SD) model is established to carry out dynamic performance measurement and simulation of CAD PPP project under different social states respectively. A case study is conducted to verify the effectiveness of the proposed SD model, model validation, sensitivity analysis and result analysis were included as well. The study result can make the project performance management of CAD PPP more scientific and reasonable, and help decision-makers to formulate effective performance improvement strategies. It’s found out that government plays an important role in CAD PPP projects, when resources are limited, the government should give priority to measures such as reducing tax rates and increasing subsidies to ensure project benefits. The research methods can also provide reference for performance measurement of other PPP projects.

Keyword : CAD project, Public Private Partnerships, indicator system, system dynamics, performance measurement, case study

How to Cite
Tang, L., Yue, Y., Xiahou, X., Tang, S., & Li, Q. (2021). Research on performance measurement and simulation of civil air defense PPP projects using system dynamics. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 27(5), 316-330. https://doi.org/10.3846/jcem.2021.14919
Published in Issue
Jun 8, 2021
Abstract Views
1038
PDF Downloads
787
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Ansari, R. (2019). Dynamic simulation model for project changemanagement policies: Engineering project case. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 145(7), 05019008. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001664

Augustínová, E., & Daubner, M. (2013). Performance measurement and management of public-private partnership projects. In Proceedings of the International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM (pp. 239–246). https://doi.org/10.5593/SGEM2013/BE5.V2/S21.032

Bassioni, H. A., Price, A. D. F., & Hassan, T. M. (2004). Performance measurement in construction. Journal of Management in Engineering, 20(2), 42–50. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0742-597X(2004)20:2(42)

Chester, C. V., & Zimmerman, G. P. (1987). Civil defense shelters: A state-of-the-art assessment. Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology, 2(4), 401–428. https://doi.org/10.1016/0886-7798(87)90101-5

Hu, W., Dong, J., Hwang, B.-g., Ren, R., Chen, Y., & Chen, Z. (2020). Using system dynamics to analyze the development of urban freight transportation system based on rail transit: A case study of Beijing. Sustainable Cities and Society, 53, 101923. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.101923

Ji, Y., Liu, G., & Qi, Y. (2019). Research on identification of influencing factors of prefabrication building cost based on improved Entropy and DEMATEL method. In International Conference on Construction and Real Estate Management 2019 (ICCREM 2019) (pp. 570–576). https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784482308.065

Jia, R., & Wu, F. (1998). Modeling of RATE variable fundamental in-tree for system dynamics. Systems Engineering – Theory & Practice, 6, 3–5.

Lee, S. U., & Stedinger, J. R. (2009). Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for models with calibrated parameters. In World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2009. https://doi.org/10.1061/41036(342)521

Li, X., & Liu, C. (2017). Research on improvement of PPP infrastructure project performance evaluation system based on balanced scorecard. Infrastructure Management Optimization, 29, 11–16.

Liu, J., Love, P. E. D., Davis, P. R., Smith, J., & Regan, M. (2015). Conceptual framework for the performance measurement of Public-Private Partnerships. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 21(1), 04014023. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000210

Ostřížek, J. (2011). Value for money drivers in PPP projects – impact on the czech VFM methodology. Acta Universitatis Bohemiae Meridionales, 14(1), 89–100.

Pagoni, E. G., & Georgiadis, P. (2020). System dynamics approaches to public–private partnerships: A literature review. Systems Research and Behavioral Science, 37(2), 277–291. https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2626

Qi, W., & Kong, L. (2017). Analysis of PPP project performance influence path based on SEM Model. Journal of Wuhan University (Information & Management Engineering), 39(2), 202–207.

Rossborough, R. J. (1976). The Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Co-ordinator. Annales De La Societe Belge De Medecine Tropicale, 56(4–5), 361.

Sun, H., Liang, Y. Z., & Wang, Y. N. (2019). Grey clustering evaluation for the cooperation efficiency of PPP project: Taking Beijing Metro Line 4 as an example. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Article ID 8232731. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/8232731

Sun, H., Shen, K., & Fan, Z. (2012). Analysis of influencing Factors of PPP project performance based on SEM method. Journal of Tianjing University (Social Sciences), 14(6), 513–519.

Tang, S. (2019). Research on the performance evaluation index system of the contract governance in the PPP mode based on the 4E theory. Guangzhou University.

Tang, L. Y., Shen, Q. P., & Cheng, E. W. L. (2010). A review of studies on Public-Private Partnership projects in the construction industry. International Journal of Project Management, 28(7), 683–694. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2009.11.009

Villalba-Romero, F., & Liyanage, C. (2016). Evaluating success in PPP road projects in Europe: A comparison of performance measurement approaches. Transportation Research Procedia, 14, 372–381. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2016.05.089

Walters, J. P., Archer, D. W., Sassenrath, G. F., Hendrickson, J. R., Hanson, J. D., Halloran, J. M., Vadas, P., & Alarcon, V. J. (2016). Exploring agricultural production systems and their fundamental components with system dynamics modelling. Ecological Modelling, 333, 51–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.04.015

Xiong, W., Yuan, J. F., Li, Q., & Skibniewski, M. J. (2015). Performance objective-based dynamic adjustment model to balance the stakeholders satisfaction in PPP projects. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 21(5), 539–547. https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2014.895409

Xu, S. (2014). Research on current legislation for urban underground space in China. In International Conference on Pipelines and Trenchless Technology 2014, Xiamen, China. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413821.001

Xu, Y., Sun, C., Skibniewski, M. J., Chan, A. P. C., Yeung, J. F. Y., & Cheng, H. (2012). System Dynamics (SD)-based concession pricing model for PPP highway projects. International Journal of Project Management, 30(2), 240–251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2011.06.001

Xue, C., & Zhou, J. (2019). System dynamics modeling and analysis of PPP project performance from three-party perspective. Science and Technology Management Research, 39(17), 205–213.

Yan, K., Peng, Y., & Guo, B. (2019). Research on the performance evaluation of PPP projects in sponge city based on PSIR model. Friends of Accounting, 13, 52–58.

Yang, L., Lei, X., & Liu, Q. (2017). Research on PPP project performance evaluation based on stakeholder theory. Project Management Technology, 15(8), 25–28.

Yildiz, A. E., Dikmen, I., & Birgonul, M. T. (2020). Using system dynamics for strategic performance management in construction. Journal of Management in Engineering, 36(2), 04019051. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000744

Yu, B., Zhang, J., Wei, S., Cong, G., Zhang, D., & Chen, T. (2007). The research on information system project performance evaluation based on fuzzy neural network. In 2007 International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, Shanghai, China. https://doi.org/10.1109/WICOM.2007.1513

Yu, L., & Tang, S. (2018). Research on the performance evaluation of contract governance under PPP mode based on “4E” theory. Construction Economy, 39(12), 37–42.

Yuan, J., Wang, C., Skibniewski, M. J., & Li, Q. (2012). Developing key performance indicators for Public-Private Partnership projects: Questionnaire survey and analysis. Journal of Management in Engineering, 28(3), 252–264. https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)me.1943-5479.0000113

Zhao, X. (2009). Research on PPP projects performance evaluation [Master thesis]. Tsinghua University.